Space product assurance - Worst case analysis

This handbook provides guidelines to perform the worst case analysis. It applies to all electrical and electronic equipment. This worst case analysis (WCA) method can also be applied at subsystem level to justify electrical interface specifications and design margins for equipment. It applies to all project phases where electrical interface requirements are established and circuit design is carried out.
The worst case analysis is generally carried out when designing the circuit. For selected circuitry, worst case analysis (WCA) can be used to validate a conceptual design approach.

RaumfahrtProduktsicherung - Worst-Case-Analysis

Assurance produit des projets spatiaux - Analyse pire cas

Zagotavljanje kakovosti proizvodov v vesoljski tehniki - Analiza najslabšega primera

V tem priročniku so podane smernice za izvedbo analize najslabšega primera. Uporablja se za vso električno in elektronsko opremo. To metodo analize najslabšega primera (WCA) je mogoče uporabiti tudi na ravni podsistema za utemeljevanje specifikacij električnih vmesnikov in mejnih vrednosti pri načrtovanju opreme. Metoda se uporablja za vse faze projekta, v katerih se določijo zahteve za električni vmesnik in izvede načrtovanje vezja.
Analiza najslabšega primera se običajno izvede med načrtovanjem vezja. Za izbrano vezje je mogoče analizo najslabšega primera uporabiti za potrjevanje pristopa konceptualnega načrtovanja.

General Information

Status
Published
Publication Date
30-Nov-2021
Technical Committee
Current Stage
6060 - Definitive text made available (DAV) - Publishing
Start Date
01-Dec-2021
Due Date
29-Dec-2022
Completion Date
01-Dec-2021

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SLOVENSKI STANDARD
01-februar-2022
Zagotavljanje kakovosti proizvodov v vesoljski tehniki - Analiza najslabšega
primera
Space product assurance - Worst case analysis
RaumfahrtProduktsicherung - Worst-Case-Analysis
Assurance produit des projets spatiaux - Analyse pire cas
Ta slovenski standard je istoveten z: CEN/TR 17602-30-01:2021
ICS:
03.120.99 Drugi standardi v zvezi s Other standards related to
kakovostjo quality
49.140 Vesoljski sistemi in operacije Space systems and
operations
2003-01.Slovenski inštitut za standardizacijo. Razmnoževanje celote ali delov tega standarda ni dovoljeno.

TECHNICAL REPORT CEN/TR 17602-30-01

RAPPORT TECHNIQUE
TECHNISCHER BERICHT
December 2021
ICS 49.140
English version
Space product assurance - Worst case analysis
Assurance produit des projets spatiaux - Analyse pire RaumfahrtProduktsicherung - Worst-Case-Analysis
cas
This Technical Report was approved by CEN on 22 November 2021. It has been drawn up by the Technical Committee
CEN/CLC/JTC 5.
CEN and CENELEC members are the national standards bodies and national electrotechnical committees of Austria, Belgium,
Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy,
Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Republic of North Macedonia, Romania, Serbia,
Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey and United Kingdom.

CEN-CENELEC Management Centre:
Rue de la Science 23, B-1040 Brussels
© 2021 CEN/CENELEC All rights of exploitation in any form and by any means Ref. No. CEN/TR 17602-30-01:2021 E
reserved worldwide for CEN national Members and for
CENELEC Members.
Table of contents
European Foreword . 4
1 Scope . 5
2 References . 6
3 Terms, definitions and abbreviated terms . 7
3.1 Terms from other documents .7
3.2 Terms specific to the present document .7
3.2.1 ambient temperature .7
3.2.2 biased variation value .7
3.2.3 component parameters .7
3.2.4 component specification .7
3.2.5 design lifetime .7
3.2.6 effective ageing data .7
3.2.7 lifetime assumed in database .7
3.2.8 radiation .7
3.2.9 random variation value .8
3.2.10 reference condition.8
3.2.11 temperature assumed in database .8
3.2.12 variation factors .8
3.2.13 worst case . 8
3.2.14 worst case analysis (WCA) .8
3.2.15 functional block .8
3.3 Abbreviated terms. 8
4 General methodology . 10
4.1 Introduction .10
4.2 Flow diagram of WCA .10
4.3 Identification of the critical aspects w.r.t. worst case performance . 12
4.4 Evaluation of worst case performance . 12
4.5 Comparison of WCA with requirements .13
5 Analysis parameters and technical issues . 14
5.1 Definition of worst case parameters within parts database . 14
5.1.1 Variation factors .14
5.1.2 Summary on deviations .18
5.2 Phase and timing considerations within the WCA . 19
5.2.1 Introduction .19
5.2.2 Timing of transient pulses .19
5.3 Numerical analysis techniques.19
5.3.1 Approach .19
5.3.2 Extreme value analysis .20
5.3.3 Extreme value analysis combined approach . 20
5.3.4 Root-sum-squared analysis .20
5.3.5 Monte Carlo analysis .20
6 WCA and project phases . 22

Figures
Figure 4-1: Flow diagram of WCA .11

Tables
Table 5-1: Deviations and attributes summary .18
Table 5-2: Numerical techniques and value summary . 21
European Foreword
This document (CEN/TR 17602-30-01:2021) has been prepared by Technical Committee CEN/CLC/JTC 5
“Space”, the secretariat of which is held by DIN.
It is highlighted that this technical report does not contain any requirement but only collection of data
or descriptions and guidelines about how to organize and perform the work in support of EN 16602-30.
This Technical report (CEN/TR 17602-30-01:2021) originates from ECSS-Q-HB-30-01A.
Attention is drawn to the possibility that some of the elements of this document may be the subject of
patent rights. CEN [and/or CENELEC] shall not be held responsible for identifying any or all such
patent rights.
This document has been prepared under a mandate given to CEN by the European Commission and
the European Free Trade Association.
This document has been developed to cover specifically space systems and has therefore precedence
over any TR covering the same scope but with a wider domain of applicability (e.g.: aerospace).
Scope
This handbook provides guidelines to perform the worst case analysis. It applies to all electrical and
electronic equipment. This worst case analysis (WCA) method can also be applied at subsystem level to
justify electrical interface specifications and design margins for equipment. It applies to all project
phases where electrical interface requirements are established and circuit design is carried out.
The worst case analysis is generally carried out when designing the circuit. For selected circuitry, worst
case analysis (WCA) can be used to validate a conceptual design approach.
References
EN Reference Reference in text Title
EN 16601-00-01 ECSS-ST-00-01 ECSS system - Glossary of terms
EN 16603-10-02 ECSS-E-ST-10-02 Space engineering -Verification
EN 16602-30 ECSS-Q-ST-30 Space product assurance - Dependability
EN 16602-30-11 ECSS-Q-ST-30-11 Space product assurance - Derating - EEE
components
- ECSS-Q-TM-30-12 Space product assurance – End-of-life parameters
drifts - EEE components
EN 16602-30-02 ECSS-Q-ST-30-02 Space product assurance - Failure modes, effects and
criticality analysis
EN 16602-40-02 ECSS-Q-ST-40-02 Space product assurance - Hazard analysis
- ECSS-Q-TM-40-04 Space product assurance - Sneak analysis
EN 16602-40-12 ECSS-Q-ST-40-12 Space product assurance - Fault tree analysis –
Adoption notice ECSS / IEC61025
CRTAWCCA Worst Case Circuit Analysis Application Guidelines,
1993 Reliability Analysis Center, Rome NY, U.S.A
JPL D-5703 Jet Propulsion Laboratory Reliability Analyses
Handbook
Terms, definitions and abbreviated terms
3.1 Terms from other documents
For the purpose of this document, the terms and definitions from ECSS-S-ST-00-01 apply and the terms
specific to the present document.
3.2 Terms specific to the present document
3.2.1 ambient temperature
temperature of a medium surrounding the component
3.2.2 biased variation value
value with a deterministic direction or sign whose amplitude and direction of variation are known
3.2.3 component parameters
electrical performance parameters of EEE parts
3.2.4 component specification
specification of the EEE part used for procurement of the EEE part
3.2.5 design lifetime
duration for which the circuit is designed to work within a particular mission
3.2.6 effective ageing data
ageing data extrapolated from the lifetime assumed in database to the design lifetime
3.2.7 lifetime assumed in database
lifetime for which the parameter variation due to ageing and environmental effects is valid
3.2.8 radiation
phenomenon by which energy, in form of waves or particles, emanates from a source into space
Example Trapped electrons, trapped protons and solar protons.
3.2.9 random variation value
value with no preferred direction or sign whose amplitude alone is known
3.2.10 reference condition
relative condition where the parameter variation is assumed to be zero
3.2.11 temperature assumed in database
temperature for which the parameter variation is given in the database
3.2.12 variation factors
factors which affect component parameters over its lifetime
NOTE For details see subclause 5.1.1.
3.2.13 worst case
highest or lowest boundary value of a given control parameter established in a validation or
qualification exercise
NOTE Failures or single event effects are not covered by
the worst case.
3.2.14 worst case analysis (WCA)
performance prediction of the circuit in the worst case condition
3.2.15 functional block
within a circuit, set of components which perform a specific function

3.3 Abbreviated terms
For the purpose of this document, the abbreviated terms from ECSS-S-ST-00-01 and the following apply:

Abbreviation Meaning
critical design review
CDR
electrical, electronic, electromechanical
EEE
electromagnetic compatibility
EMC
end-of-life
EOL
extreme value analysis
EVA
activation energy
EA
Boltzmann constant
k
Monte-Carlo analysis
MCA
printed circuit board
PCB
probability density function
PDF
preliminary design review
PDR
radio frequency
RF
root-sum-square
RSS
single event effect
SEE
junction temperature
Tj
worst case analysis
WCA
General methodology
4.1 Introduction
The worst case analysis (WCA) is performed on electronic and electrical equipment to demonstrate that
it performs within specification despite particular variations in its constituent part parameters and the
imposed environment, at the end of overall lifetime (EOL).
A good survey of worst case circuit analysis can be found in CRTAWCCA “Worst Case Circuit Analysis
Application Guidelines, 1993 Reliability Analysis Center, Rome NY, U.S.A.”.
4.2 Flow diagram of WCA
The worst case analysis is used to demonstrate sufficient operating margins for all operating conditions
in electronic circuits.
A flow diagram of WCA is shown in Figure 4-1.
Worst case analysis
- review of requirements
- review of parts database
- review of available analysis techniques
FMECA Identification of the critical aspects with
Sneak analys respect to worst case performance
Input
Fault tree analysis
Hazard analysis (Identification of critical functions where a
Radiation analysis WCA is performed)
Circuit partitioning
Redesign or
Critical circuit parameter selection optimization of the
analysis
Circuit models and equations
Results
Nonconformance not
acceptable
Conclusions
Yes or
nonconformance acceptable
End report
Figure 4-1: Flow diagram of WCA
4.3 Identification of the critical aspects w.r.t. worst case
performance
The critical aspects with respect to worst case performance and the critical circuit parameters should be
identified. These critical aspects can be identified from results of other analyses:
• FMECA,
• sneak analysis,
• fault tree analysis,,
...

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